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FTMatchday 29

Cremonese vs Fiorentina: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1437 – 1464

Recent form

CremoneseLLDLL
FiorentinaLDWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Fiorentina35-840
2Cremonese35-2431

Head to head

  • Fiorentina 1–0 Cremonese2026-01-04

Match preview

Cremonese host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 16 March 2026. Cremonese sit 18th on 31 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Cremonese have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDLL), while Fiorentina have won 2 of 5 (LDWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Cremonese won 0, Fiorentina won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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