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FTMatchday 2

Chelsea vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1535

Recent form

ChelseaLDWLW
Brighton and Hove AlbionLWLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Brighton and Hove Albion9+1719
2Chelsea9+416

Head to head

  • Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea2026-04-21
  • Chelsea 1–3 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-09-27

Match preview

Chelsea host Brighton and Hove Albion in the Premier League on 30 August 2026. Chelsea sit 4th on 16 points and Brighton and Hove Albion are 3rd on 19. Chelsea have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWLW), while Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of 5 (LWLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Brighton and Hove Albion won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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