FTMatchday 5

Chelsea vs Barcelona: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Chelsea3

Barcelona0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

ChelseaBarcelona

Jules Koundéown goal27'
32'Ronald Araújoyellow card
Malo Gustoyellow card40'
44'Ronald Araújoyellow card
44'Ronald Araújored card
Malo Gustoon46'
46'Ferran Torreson
Estêvãoassist Reece James55'
Alejandro Garnachoon59'
62'Robert Lewandowskion
62'Fermínon
Liam Delapassist Enzo Fernández73'
Pedro Netoon76'
79'Alejandro Baldeon
80'Lamine Yamalon
Estêvãoon82'
Reece Jameson82'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaBarcelona

56%Possession44%
2Expected goals (xG)1
15Shots5
6Shots on target2
4Corners0
18Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
6Offsides1
2Saves3
516Passes417

Line-ups

Chelsea

1Robert Sanchez
24Reece James
7Pedro Neto
3Marc Cucurella
29Wesley Fofana
23Trevoh Chalobah
27Malo Gusto
25Moisés Caicedo
8Enzo Fernández
49Alejandro Garnacho
41Estêvão

Barcelona

9Robert Lewandowski
7Ferran Torres
23Jules Koundé
21Frenkie de Jong
24Eric García
4Ronald Araújo
3Alejandro Balde
13Joan García
10Lamine Yamal
16Fermín
5Pau Cubarsí

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1540

Recent form

ChelseaWWDWW

BarcelonaWLWDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Chelsea host Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League on 25 November 2025. Chelsea sit 7th on 10 points and Barcelona are 18th on 7. Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Barcelona have won 3 of 5 (WLWDW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.