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FTMatchday 3

Cagliari vs Lecce: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1473 – 1442

Recent form

CagliariDLWWW
LecceWLWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Cagliari8-413
2Lecce8-59

Head to head

  • Cagliari 0–2 Lecce2026-02-16
  • Lecce 1–2 Cagliari2025-09-19

Match preview

Cagliari host Lecce in the Serie A on 7 September 2026. Cagliari sit 10th on 13 points and Lecce are 13th on 9. Cagliari have won 3 of their last 5 (DLWWW), while Lecce have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Cagliari won 1, Lecce won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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