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Kick-off · Matchday 13

Cagliari vs AC Milan: Prediction

Cagliari
43%Away win
AC Milan

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.24 – 1.48
Team rating (Elo)1473 – 1571

Recent form

CagliariWDLLL
AC MilanDWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1AC Milan9+718
2Cagliari8-413

Head to head

  • AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari2026-05-24
  • Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan2026-01-02

Match preview

Cagliari host AC Milan in the Serie A on 29 November 2026. Cagliari sit 10th on 13 points and AC Milan are 4th on 18. Cagliari have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLLL), while AC Milan have won 3 of 5 (DWWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Cagliari won 1, AC Milan won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Cagliari 32%, the draw 25% and AC Milan 43%, so AC Milan are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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