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FTMatchday 34

Burnley vs Manchester City: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1535

Recent form

BurnleyLDLLL
Manchester CityWDDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City38+4278
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Manchester City 5–1 Burnley2025-09-27

Match preview

Burnley host Manchester City in the Premier League on 22 April 2026. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Burnley have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLLL), while Manchester City have won 3 of 5 (WDDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Manchester City won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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