Burnley vs Manchester City: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +42 | 78 | |
| 2 | 38 | -37 | 22 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 5–1 Burnley2025-09-27
Match preview
Burnley host Manchester City in the Premier League on 22 April 2026. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Burnley have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLLL), while Manchester City have won 3 of 5 (WDDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Manchester City won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

