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FTMatchday 30

Burnley vs Bournemouth: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1482

Recent form

BurnleyLWDLL
BournemouthDWDDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Bournemouth38+457
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Bournemouth 1–1 Burnley2025-12-20

Match preview

Burnley host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 14 March 2026. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Burnley have won 1 of their last 5 (LWDLL), while Bournemouth have won 1 of 5 (DWDDD). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Bournemouth won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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