Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 36

Burnley vs Aston Villa: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1541

Recent form

BurnleyLLLLL
Aston VillaWDWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Aston Villa38+765
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Aston Villa 2–1 Burnley2025-10-05

Match preview

Burnley host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 10 May 2026. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Burnley have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Aston Villa have won 2 of 5 (WDWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming