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FTMatchday 3

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Leeds United: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1502

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionWLLWL
Leeds UnitedDWLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Brighton and Hove Albion9+1719
2Leeds United9+111

Head to head

  • Leeds United 1–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-05-17
  • Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Leeds United2025-11-01

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Leeds United in the Premier League on 5 September 2026. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 3rd on 19 points and Leeds United are 11th on 11. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLWL), while Leeds United have won 2 of 5 (DWLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1, Leeds United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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