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FTMatchday 1

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Aston Villa: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1541

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionWLWLL
Aston VillaLLDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Brighton and Hove Albion9+1719
2Aston Villa9-312

Head to head

  • Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-02-11
  • Brighton and Hove Albion 3–4 Aston Villa2025-12-03

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 23 August 2026. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 3rd on 19 points and Aston Villa are 9th on 12. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWLL), while Aston Villa have won 2 of 5 (LLDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 0, Aston Villa won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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