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FTMatchday 5

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Arsenal: Prediction

Brighton and Hove Albion3
FT
Arsenal0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Brighton and Hove AlbionArsenal
  1. Pascal Großassist Charalampos Kostoulas31'
  2. Charalampos Kostoulasyellow card33'
  3. Charalampos Kostoulasassist Diego Gómez45'
  4. Ferdi Kadıoğluyellow card45'
  5. Chema Andrésassist Pascal Groß57'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1578 – 1644

Recent form

Brighton and Hove AlbionLWLDW
ArsenalWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal8+821
2Brighton and Hove Albion9+1719

Head to head

  • Brighton and Hove Albion 0–1 Arsenal2026-03-04
  • Arsenal 2–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-12-27
  • Arsenal 2–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-10-29

Match preview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Arsenal in the Premier League on 19 September 2026. Brighton and Hove Albion sit 3rd on 19 points and Arsenal are 2nd on 21. Brighton and Hove Albion have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLDW), while Arsenal have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 3 meetings, Brighton and Hove Albion won 0, Arsenal won 3 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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