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FTMatchday 3

Brentford vs Sunderland: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1498

Recent form

BrentfordLDDWD
SunderlandDWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Brentford9+714
2Sunderland9-105

Head to head

  • Brentford 3–0 Sunderland2026-01-07
  • Sunderland 2–1 Brentford2025-08-30

Match preview

Brentford host Sunderland in the Premier League on 5 September 2026. Brentford sit 6th on 14 points and Sunderland are 20th on 5. Brentford have won 1 of their last 5 (LDDWD), while Sunderland have won 3 of 5 (DWWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Brentford won 1, Sunderland won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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