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FTMatchday 5

Brentford vs Chelsea: Prediction

Brentford3
FT
Chelsea0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
BrentfordChelsea
  1. Jaidon Anthonyassist Jannik Schuster61'
  2. Michael Kayodeon69'
  3. Yehor Yarmolyukon69'
  4. 71'Danny Welbeckon
  5. 71'Wesley Fofanaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1533 – 1517

Recent form

BrentfordDWDDD
ChelseaLWWLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Chelsea9+416
2Brentford9+714

Head to head

  • Chelsea 2–0 Brentford2026-01-17
  • Brentford 2–2 Chelsea2025-09-13

Match preview

Brentford host Chelsea in the Premier League on 18 September 2026. Brentford sit 6th on 14 points and Chelsea are 4th on 16. Brentford have won 1 of their last 5 (DWDDD), while Chelsea have won 2 of 5 (LWWLD). In their last 2 meetings, Brentford won 0, Chelsea won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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