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FTMatchday 4

Bournemouth vs Brentford: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
BournemouthBrentford
  1. 34'Kevin Schadeassist Yehor Yarmolyuk
  2. Justin Kluivert38'
  3. 45'Igor Thiagoyellow card
  4. Marcus Tavernieryellow card45'
  5. Marcus Tavernierassist Evanilson52'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1541

Recent form

BournemouthDDLDD
BrentfordDDWDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Brentford9+714
2Bournemouth9+112

Head to head

  • Bournemouth 0–0 Brentford2026-03-03
  • Brentford 4–1 Bournemouth2025-12-27
  • Bournemouth 0–2 Brentford2025-08-26

Match preview

Bournemouth host Brentford in the Premier League on 12 September 2026. Bournemouth sit 7th on 12 points and Brentford are 6th on 14. Bournemouth have won 0 of their last 5 (DDLDD), while Brentford have won 1 of 5 (DDWDD). In their last 3 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Brentford won 2 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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