FTMatchday 5

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal: Prediction

📍 Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund4

Villarreal0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

Borussia DortmundVillarreal

Sehrou Guirassyassist Aarón Anselmino45'
52'Juan Marcos Foythred card
Sehrou Guirassy54'
Karim Adeyemi58'
65'Thomas Parteyon
65'Nicolas Pépéon
Julian Brandton68'
Sehrou Guirassyon68'
Karim Adeyemiyellow card71'
74'Santi Comesañaon
Marcel Sabitzeron77'
Felix Nmechaon77'
83'Tajon Buchananon
83'Santiago Mouriñoon
Waldemar Antonon84'
Daniel Svenssonassist Pascal Gross90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Borussia DortmundVillarreal

67%Possession33%
4Expected goals (xG)1
13Shots10
8Shots on target2
3Corners2
17Fouls12
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
0Offsides1
1Saves3
628Passes312

Line-ups

Borussia Dortmund

10Julian Brandt
20Marcel Sabitzer
9Sehrou Guirassy
4Nico Schlotterbeck
27Karim Adeyemi
1Gregor Kobel
3Waldemar Anton
8Felix Nmecha
24Daniel Svensson
2Yan Couto
28Aarón Anselmino

Villarreal

16Thomas Partey
8Juan Marcos Foyth
19Nicolas Pépé
17Tajon Buchanan
18Pape Gueye
14Santi Comesaña
1Luiz Júnior
21Tanitoluwa Oluwaseyi
12Renato Veiga
23Sergi Cardona
15Santiago Mouriño

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1538 – 1450

Recent form

Borussia DortmundWWWLD

VillarrealLWWLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal2026-09-08

Match preview

Borussia Dortmund host Villarreal in the UEFA Champions League on 25 November 2025. Borussia Dortmund sit 6th on 10 points and Villarreal are 34th on 1. Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLD), while Villarreal have won 3 of 5 (LWWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, Villarreal won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.