Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction
📍 Signal Iduna Park
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- ⚽Daniel Svenssonassist Karim Adeyemi28'
- 44'Aitor Paredesyellow card
- 46'⇄Iñaki Williamson
- 46'⇄Dani Vivianon
- 46'⇄Mikel Jauregizaron
- ⚽Carney Chukwuemekaassist Sehrou Guirassy50'
- 59'Andoni Gorosabelyellow card
- 61'⚽Gorka Guruzeta
- ⇄Karim Adeyemion63'
- ⇄Carney Chukwuemekaon63'
- 63'⇄Unai Gómezon
- ⇄Jobe Bellinghamon69'
- ⇄Niklas Suleon70'
- 80'⇄Maroan Sannadion
- ⚽Sehrou Guirassyassist Marcel Sabitzer82'
- ⇄Sehrou Guirassyon87'
- Maximilian Beieryellow card89'
- ⚽Julian Brandtassist Maximilian Beier90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 52%Possession48%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 13Shots6
- 8Shots on target3
- 4Corners0
- 14Fouls15
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides3
- 2Saves4
- 531Passes487
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Borussia DortmundWWDWW
Athletic BilbaoLLLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host Athletic Bilbao in the UEFA Champions League on 1 October 2025. Borussia Dortmund sit 6th on 10 points and Athletic Bilbao are 27th on 4. Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Athletic Bilbao have won 0 of 5 (LLLDL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
