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FTMatchday 3

Bologna vs Sassuolo: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
BolognaSassuolo
  1. 19'Josh Doig
  2. 38'Cristian Volpatoon
  3. Rahim Alhassaneon45'
  4. Jens Odgaardon45'
  5. Tommaso Pobegaon45'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1453

Recent form

BolognaDWWDL
SassuoloWLLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bologna9+214
2Sassuolo8-95

Head to head

  • Sassuolo 0–1 Bologna2026-03-15
  • Bologna 1–1 Sassuolo2025-12-28

Match preview

Bologna host Sassuolo in the Serie A on 6 September 2026. Bologna sit 8th on 14 points and Sassuolo are 18th on 5. Bologna have won 2 of their last 5 (DWWDL), while Sassuolo have won 1 of 5 (WLLLL). In their last 2 meetings, Bologna won 1, Sassuolo won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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