Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 1

Bayern Munich vs Chelsea: Prediction

📍 Allianz Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Bayern MunichChelsea
  1. Trevoh Chalobahown goal20'
  2. Harry Kanepenalty27'
  3. Jonathan Tahyellow card29'
  4. 29'Cole Palmerassist Malo Gusto
  5. Jonathan Tahon46'
  6. Josip Stanišićon51'
  7. Harry Kaneassist Serge Gnabry63'
  8. Aleksandar Pavlovićon64'
  9. 68'Pedro Netoon
  10. 68'Reece Jameson
  11. 81'Enzo Fernándezon
  12. Michael Oliseyellow card85'
  13. Konrad Laimeryellow card85'
  14. Serge Gnabryon90'
  15. Harry Kaneon90'
  16. 90'Andrey Santosyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayern MunichChelsea
  • 56%Possession44%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 16Shots9
  • 5Shots on target3
  • 6Corners2
  • 12Fouls7
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides3
  • 2Saves3
  • 556Passes437

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

  • 7Serge Gnabry
  • 9Harry Kane
  • 1Manuel Neuer
  • 4Jonathan Tah
  • 6Joshua Kimmich
  • 2Dayot Upamecano
  • 27Konrad Laimer
  • 14Luis Díaz
  • 17Michael Olise
  • 44Josip Stanišić
  • 45Aleksandar Pavlović

Chelsea

  • 4Tosin Adarabioyo
  • 1Robert Sanchez
  • 20João Pedro
  • 24Reece James
  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 3Marc Cucurella
  • 23Trevoh Chalobah
  • 27Malo Gusto
  • 25Moisés Caicedo
  • 10Cole Palmer
  • 8Enzo Fernández

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1561 – 1524

Recent form

Bayern MunichWWW
ChelseaDWWD
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Bayern Munich host Chelsea in the UEFA Champions League on 17 September 2025. Bayern Munich sit 3rd on 12 points and Chelsea are 7th on 10. Bayern Munich have won 3 of their last 3 (WWW), while Chelsea have won 2 of 4 (DWWD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming