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FTMatchday 3

Bayer Leverkusen vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction

📍 BayArena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

10 goals
Bayer LeverkusenParis Saint-Germain
  1. 7'Willian Pachoassist Nuno Mendes
  2. 24'Ilya Zabarnyiyellow card
  3. Alex Grimaldopenalty25'
  4. Robert Andrichred card33'
  5. 37'Ilya Zabarnyired card
  6. Aleix Garcíapenalty38'
  7. 41'Désiré Douéassist Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  8. Claudio Echeverriyellow card43'
  9. 44'Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  10. Edmond Tapsobayellow card45'
  11. 45'Désiré Douéassist Achraf Hakimi
  12. Claudio Echeverrion46'
  13. 46'Désiré Douéon
  14. 50'Nuno Mendesassist Vitinha
  15. Christian Kofaneon52'
  16. Aleix Garcíaassist Alex Grimaldo54'
  17. 63'Senny Mayuluon
  18. 63'Khvicha Kvaratskheliaon
  19. Ernest Pokuon64'
  20. 66'Ousmane Dembéléassist Bradley Barcola
  21. 72'Bradley Barcolaon
  22. 76'Warren Zaïre-Emeryon
  23. Ezequiel Fernándezon81'
  24. 90'Vitinha

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Bayer LeverkusenParis Saint-Germain
  • 29%Possession71%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)3
  • 6Shots24
  • 3Shots on target8
  • 3Corners4
  • 8Fouls6
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 1Red cards1
  • 3Offsides0
  • 1Saves1
  • 315Passes777

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen

  • 20Alex Grimaldo
  • 1Mark Flekken
  • 8Robert Andrich
  • 12Edmond Tapsoba
  • 5Loïc Badé
  • 24Aleix García
  • 19Ernest Poku
  • 13Arthur
  • 6Ezequiel Fernández
  • 9Claudio Echeverri
  • 35Christian Kofane

Paris Saint-Germain

  • 2Achraf Hakimi
  • 6Ilya Zabarnyi
  • 17Vitinha
  • 7Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • 25Nuno Mendes
  • 29Bradley Barcola
  • 51Willian Pacho
  • 14Désiré Doué
  • 30Lucas Chevalier
  • 33Warren Zaïre-Emery
  • 24Senny Mayulu

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1596

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenDWDWW
Paris Saint-GermainLWWDD
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2025. Bayer Leverkusen sit 17th on 8 points and Paris Saint-Germain are 2nd on 12. Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of their last 5 (DWDWW), while Paris Saint-Germain have won 2 of 5 (LWWDD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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