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FTMatchday 2

Barcelona vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction

📍 Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
BarcelonaParis Saint-Germain
  1. Ferran Torresassist Marcus Rashford19'
  2. Frenkie de Jongyellow card32'
  3. 38'Senny Mayuluassist Nuno Mendes
  4. 44'Nuno Mendesyellow card
  5. Dani Olmoyellow card57'
  6. 65'Ibrahim Mbayeon
  7. Dani Olmoon72'
  8. Marcus Rashfordon72'
  9. Gerard Martínon72'
  10. 72'Fabiánon
  11. Marc Casadóyellow card78'
  12. Pedrion79'
  13. 80'Bradley Barcolaon
  14. 80'Senny Mayuluon
  15. Eric Garcíaon86'
  16. 87'Achraf Hakimiyellow card
  17. 90'Gonçalo Ramosassist Achraf Hakimi
  18. Lamine Yamalyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BarcelonaParis Saint-Germain
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 12Shots15
  • 3Shots on target7
  • 4Corners9
  • 12Fouls14
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 5Saves0
  • 422Passes474

Line-ups

Barcelona

  • 25Wojciech Szczesny
  • 14Marcus Rashford
  • 7Ferran Torres
  • 23Jules Koundé
  • 21Frenkie de Jong
  • 20Dani Olmo
  • 24Eric García
  • 8Pedri
  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 18Gerard Martín
  • 5Pau Cubarsí

Paris Saint-Germain

  • 2Achraf Hakimi
  • 8Fabián
  • 6Ilya Zabarnyi
  • 17Vitinha
  • 25Nuno Mendes
  • 29Bradley Barcola
  • 51Willian Pacho
  • 30Lucas Chevalier
  • 33Warren Zaïre-Emery
  • 24Senny Mayulu
  • 49Ibrahim Mbaye

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1540 – 1596

Recent form

BarcelonaWWWWW
Paris Saint-GermainWWWLW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

  • Paris Saint-Germain 4–2 Barcelona2026-10-20

Match preview

Barcelona host Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League on 1 October 2025. Barcelona sit 18th on 7 points and Paris Saint-Germain are 2nd on 12. Barcelona have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Paris Saint-Germain have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Barcelona won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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