FTMatchday 5

Atlético Madrid vs Inter Milan: Prediction

📍 Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atlético Madrid2

Inter Milan1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Atlético MadridInter Milan

Julián Álvarez9'
44'Federico Dimarcoyellow card
54'Piotr Zielińskiassist Ange-Yoan Bonny
Conor Gallagheron59'
Johnny Cardosoon59'
Nahuel Molinaon59'
65'Piotr Zielińskion
65'Ange-Yoan Bonnyon
Álex Baenaon68'
Matteo Ruggerion68'
72'Hakan Çalhanoğluon
72'Lautaro Martínezon
79'Federico Dimarcoon
José María Giménezassist Antoine Griezmann90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Atlético MadridInter Milan

48%Possession52%
1Expected goals (xG)1
15Shots17
6Shots on target6
7Corners6
12Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
5Saves4
488Passes527

Line-ups

Atlético Madrid

2José María Giménez
17Dávid Hancko
1Juan Musso
16Nahuel Molina
4Conor Gallagher
3Matteo Ruggeri
10Álex Baena
19Julián Álvarez
5Johnny Cardoso
8Pablo Barrios
20Giuliano Simeone

Inter Milan

32Federico Dimarco
23Nicolo Barella
20Hakan Çalhanoğlu
25Manuel Akanji
7Piotr Zieliński
1Yann Sommer
10Lautaro Martínez
95Alessandro Bastoni
30Carlos Neves
31Yann Bisseck
14Ange-Yoan Bonny

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1537

Recent form

Atlético MadridLWWWW

Inter MilanWWWWL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Atlético Madrid host Inter Milan in the UEFA Champions League on 26 November 2025. Atlético Madrid sit 12th on 9 points and Inter Milan are 4th on 12. Atlético Madrid have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Inter Milan have won 4 of 5 (WWWWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.