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FTMatchday 1

Athletic Bilbao vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 San Mamés Barria

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Athletic BilbaoArsenal
  1. 7'Declan Riceyellow card
  2. Robert Navarroon61'
  3. 65'Viktor Gyökereson
  4. Adama Boiroon68'
  5. Oihan Sanceton68'
  6. 71'Eberechi Ezeon
  7. 72'Gabriel Martinelliassist Leandro Trossard
  8. Mikel Vesgaon81'
  9. Unai Gómezon81'
  10. 84'Noni Maduekeyellow card
  11. Mikel Jauregizaryellow card85'
  12. 87'Leandro Trossardassist Gabriel Martinelli
  13. 90'Martín Zubimendiyellow card
  14. 90'Riccardo Calafiorion
  15. 90'Noni Maduekeon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Athletic BilbaoArsenal
  • 39%Possession61%
  • 0Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots11
  • 2Shots on target6
  • 2Corners2
  • 18Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 4Saves2
  • 305Passes490

Line-ups

Athletic Bilbao

  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 6Mikel Vesga
  • 7Álex Berenguer
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 2Andoni Gorosabel
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 4Aitor Paredes
  • 23Robert Navarro
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar
  • 19Adama Boiro

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 23Mikel Merino
  • 20Noni Madueke
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 10Eberechi Eze
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 14Viktor Gyökeres
  • 33Riccardo Calafiori
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1532

Recent form

Athletic BilbaoWWL
ArsenalWWLW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League on 16 September 2025. Athletic Bilbao sit 27th on 4 points and Arsenal are 1st on 15. Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of their last 3 (WWL), while Arsenal have won 3 of 4 (WWLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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