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FTMatchday 4

Atalanta vs Cagliari: Prediction

Atalanta1
FT
Cagliari2

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1515 – 1473

Recent form

AtalantaWLDWL
CagliariLWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Cagliari8-413
2Atalanta8-28

Head to head

  • Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta2026-04-27

Match preview

Atalanta host Cagliari in the Serie A on 12 September 2026. Atalanta sit 14th on 8 points and Cagliari are 10th on 13. Atalanta have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDWL), while Cagliari have won 4 of 5 (LWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Atalanta won 0, Cagliari won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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