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FTMatchday 4

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
  1. Pau Torreson25'
  2. 43'Dan Ndoyeyellow card
  3. Nicolas Jacksonyellow card45'
  4. 45'Murilloyellow card
  5. Nicolas Jacksonon45'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1492

Recent form

Aston VillaWLLDW
Nottingham ForestLDLDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Aston Villa9-312
2Nottingham Forest9-66

Head to head

  • Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa2026-04-12
  • Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest2026-01-03

Match preview

Aston Villa host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on 12 September 2026. Aston Villa sit 9th on 12 points and Nottingham Forest are 19th on 6. Aston Villa have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLDW), while Nottingham Forest have won 0 of 5 (LDLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Aston Villa won 1, Nottingham Forest won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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