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FTMatchday 3

Arsenal vs Chelsea: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ArsenalChelsea
  1. 2'Morgan Rogersassist Jorrel Hato
  2. 14'João Pedroyellow card
  3. Kai Havertzassist Declan Rice25'
  4. 45'Cole Palmeryellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1524

Recent form

ArsenalWWWWW
ChelseaDWLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal8+821
2Chelsea9+416

Head to head

  • Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea2026-03-01
  • Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal2025-11-30

Match preview

Arsenal host Chelsea in the Premier League on 6 September 2026. Arsenal sit 2nd on 21 points and Chelsea are 4th on 16. Arsenal have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Chelsea have won 3 of 5 (DWLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Arsenal won 1, Chelsea won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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