Arsenal vs Burnley: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +44 | 85 | |
| 2 | 38 | -37 | 22 |
Head to head
- Burnley 0–2 Arsenal2025-11-01
Match preview
Arsenal host Burnley in the Premier League on 18 May 2026. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5 (LLWWW), while Burnley have won 0 of 5 (LLLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Arsenal won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

