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FTMatchday 37

Arsenal vs Burnley: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1497

Recent form

ArsenalLLWWW
BurnleyLLLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Burnley 0–2 Arsenal2025-11-01

Match preview

Arsenal host Burnley in the Premier League on 18 May 2026. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5 (LLWWW), while Burnley have won 0 of 5 (LLLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Arsenal won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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