FTMatchday 5

Arsenal vs Bayern Munich: Prediction

📍 Emirates Stadium

Arsenal3

Bayern Munich1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

ArsenalBayern Munich

Jurrien Timberassist Bukayo Saka22'
23'Dayot Upamecanoyellow card
32'Lennart Karlassist Serge Gnabry
Leandro Trossardon38'
43'Konrad Laimeryellow card
Bukayo Sakaon68'
Myles Lewis-Skellyon68'
Noni Maduekeassist Riccardo Calafiori69'
72'Serge Gnabryon
72'Konrad Laimeron
William Salibayellow card74'
Gabriel Martinelliassist Eberechi Eze77'
Mikel Merinoyellow card80'
Jurrien Timberon80'
Eberechi Ezeon80'
81'Dayot Upamecanoon
81'Joshua Kimmichon
81'Lennart Karlon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ArsenalBayern Munich

40%Possession60%
3Expected goals (xG)1
12Shots8
8Shots on target2
6Corners1
16Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Offsides0
1Saves5
344Passes534

Line-ups

Arsenal

1David Raya
19Leandro Trossard
41Declan Rice
23Mikel Merino
7Bukayo Saka
10Eberechi Eze
2William Saliba
12Jurrien Timber
36Martín Zubimendi
3Cristhian Mosquera
49Myles Lewis-Skelly

Bayern Munich

7Serge Gnabry
9Harry Kane
1Manuel Neuer
4Jonathan Tah
6Joshua Kimmich
2Dayot Upamecano
27Konrad Laimer
17Michael Olise
44Josip Stanišić
45Aleksandar Pavlović
42Lennart Karl

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1561

Recent form

ArsenalWWWDW

Bayern MunichWWWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Bayern Munich 2–2 Arsenal2026-10-21

Match preview

Arsenal host Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League on 26 November 2025. Arsenal sit 1st on 15 points and Bayern Munich are 3rd on 12. Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWDW), while Bayern Munich have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Arsenal won 0, Bayern Munich won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.