FTMatchday 3

Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

📍 Emirates Stadium

Arsenal4

Atlético Madrid0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

ArsenalAtlético Madrid

33'José María Giménezyellow card
Martín Zubimendiyellow card38'
Gabriel Magalhãesassist Declan Rice57'
63'Nicolás Gonzálezon
63'José María Giménezon
63'Kokeon
Gabriel Martinelliassist Myles Lewis-Skelly64'
Viktor Gyökeres67'
Viktor Gyökeresassist Gabriel Magalhães70'
Gabriel Magalhãeson72'
72'Giuliano Simeoneon
72'Alexander Sørlothon
Martín Zubimendion73'
Eberechi Ezeon73'
75'Robin Le Normandyellow card
Jurrien Timberon83'
Viktor Gyökereson83'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ArsenalAtlético Madrid

52%Possession48%
2Expected goals (xG)1
19Shots11
8Shots on target1
3Corners4
14Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Offsides0
1Saves4
421Passes394

Line-ups

Arsenal

1David Raya
41Declan Rice
11Gabriel Martinelli
7Bukayo Saka
6Gabriel Magalhães
10Eberechi Eze
2William Saliba
12Jurrien Timber
36Martín Zubimendi
14Viktor Gyökeres
49Myles Lewis-Skelly

Atlético Madrid

14Marcos Llorente
13Jan Oblak
2José María Giménez
6Koke
17Dávid Hancko
24Robin Le Normand
9Alexander Sørloth
23Nicolás González
19Julián Álvarez
8Pablo Barrios
20Giuliano Simeone

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1501

Recent form

ArsenalWWWWW

Atlético MadridWWWDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Arsenal host Atlético Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2025. Arsenal sit 1st on 15 points and Atlético Madrid are 12th on 9. Arsenal have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Atlético Madrid have won 4 of 5 (WWWDW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.