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FTMatchday 5

AC Milan vs Lecce: Prediction

AC Milan3
FT
Lecce0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
AC MilanLecce
  1. Christian Pulisicassist Strahinja Pavlović14'
  2. 46'Nikola Štulićon
  3. 58'Danilo Veigayellow card
  4. Adrien Rabiotassist Gonçalo Ramos61'
  5. Alexis Saelemaekerson70'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1571 – 1442

Recent form

AC MilanWLWDD
LecceWWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1AC Milan9+718
2Lecce8-59

Head to head

  • AC Milan 1–0 Lecce2026-01-18

Match preview

AC Milan host Lecce in the Serie A on 20 September 2026. AC Milan sit 4th on 18 points and Lecce are 13th on 9. AC Milan have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWDD), while Lecce have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). In their last 1 meetings, AC Milan won 1, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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