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FTMatchday 38

AC Milan vs Cagliari: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
AC MilanCagliari
  1. 2'Zé Pedroyellow card
  2. Alexis Saelemaekersassist Santiago Giménez2'
  3. 20'Gennaro Borrelli
  4. Santiago Giménezon46'
  5. Strahinja Pavlovićyellow card56'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1571 – 1473

Recent form

AC MilanWDLLW
CagliariLWDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1AC Milan35+1563
2Cagliari35-1043

Head to head

  • Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan2026-01-02

Match preview

AC Milan host Cagliari in the Serie A on 24 May 2026. AC Milan sit 5th on 63 points and Cagliari are 12th on 43. AC Milan have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLLW), while Cagliari have won 2 of 5 (LWDLW). In their last 1 meetings, AC Milan won 1, Cagliari won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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