Kick-off · 13 మార్చి, శని 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 29
Chelsea vs Arsenal: Prediction
Chelsea49%Away win
Arsenal27% Home win24% Draw49% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.17 – 1.68
Team rating (Elo)1504 – 1644
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLArsenalWWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea2026-09-06
- Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea2026-03-01
- Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal2025-11-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
