Kick-off · শনি ১৩ মার্চ, ০৮:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 29
Chelsea vs Arsenal: Prediction
Chelsea50%Away win
Arsenal26% Home win24% Draw50% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.16 – 1.68
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1644
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLArsenalWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea2026-09-06
- Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea2026-03-01
- Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal2025-11-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
