FTMatchday 6
Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen2–1
FreiburgNot enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1507
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +4 | 12 | |
| 2 | 6 | +2 | 10 |
Head to head
- Freiburg 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen2026-03-07
- Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Freiburg2025-10-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.