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FTMatchday 6

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg: Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen
2–1
Freiburg

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1507

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenDLWWW
FreiburgWWWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayer Leverkusen6+412
2Freiburg6+210

Head to head

  • Freiburg 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen2026-03-07
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Freiburg2025-10-26

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming