Kick-off · நவ. 21, சனி, 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 11
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction
Bournemouth56%Home win
Nottingham Forest56% Home win23% Draw21% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.86 – 1.05
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1465
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 2 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
Head to head
- Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth2026-05-24
- Bournemouth 2–0 Nottingham Forest2025-10-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.