Kick-off · Sat, 21 Nov, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 11
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction
Bournemouth55%Home win
Nottingham Forest55% Home win23% Draw22% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.84 – 1.07
Team rating (Elo)1531 – 1468
Recent form
BournemouthDLLWWNottingham ForestWLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
Head to head
- Nottingham Forest 1–1 Bournemouth2026-05-24
- Bournemouth 2–0 Nottingham Forest2025-10-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
