Kick-off · ஏப். 24, சனி, 07:30 PM ISTMatchday 33
Bournemouth vs Arsenal: Prediction
Bournemouth45%Away win
Arsenal30% Home win25% Draw45% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.25 – 1.57
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1644
Recent form
BournemouthDLLWWArsenalWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth2026-04-11
- Bournemouth 2–3 Arsenal2026-01-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
