Kick-off · Sat, 24 Apr, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 33
Bournemouth vs Arsenal: Prediction
Bournemouth45%Away win
Arsenal30% Home win25% Draw45% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.24 – 1.58
Team rating (Elo)1482 – 1532
Recent form
BournemouthDLLWWArsenalWWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth2026-04-11
- Bournemouth 2–3 Arsenal2026-01-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
