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Kick-off · டிச. 5, சனி, 08:30 PM ISTMatchday 14

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace: Prediction

Aston Villa
59%Home win
Crystal Palace

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.93 – 1.02
Team rating (Elo)1522 – 1434

Recent form

Aston VillaLWDWW
Crystal PalaceLDWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Aston Villa8-311
2Crystal Palace8-107

Head to head

  • Crystal Palace 0–0 Aston Villa2026-01-07
  • Aston Villa 0–3 Crystal Palace2025-08-31

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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