Kick-off · শনি ৫ ডিসেঃ, ০৮:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 14
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace: Prediction
Aston Villa58%Home win
Crystal Palace58% Home win22% Draw20% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.91 – 1.02
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1435
Recent form
Aston VillaLWDWWCrystal PalaceLDWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Crystal Palace 0–0 Aston Villa2026-01-07
- Aston Villa 0–3 Crystal Palace2025-08-31
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
