Kick-off · Sat, 9 Jan, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 15
Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin: Prediction
Werder Bremen50%Home win
Union Berlin50% Home win23% Draw27% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.85 – 1.30
Team rating (Elo)1475 – 1457
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +1 | 11 | |
| 2 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Head to head
- Union Berlin 1–4 Werder Bremen2026-03-08
- Werder Bremen 1–0 Union Berlin2025-10-24
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.