Kick-off · Sat, 31 Oct, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 8
Augsburg vs Freiburg: Prediction
Augsburg46%Home win
Freiburg46% Home win23% Draw31% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.74 – 1.38
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1507
Recent form
AugsburgWLDLDFreiburgWDWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 | Augsburg | 6 | +4 | 8 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 2–2 Freiburg2026-01-18
- Freiburg 1–3 Augsburg2025-08-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
