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FTMatchday 34

Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1489 – 1529

Recent form

Werder BremenLWDLL
Borussia DortmundLLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund32+3671
2Werder Bremen32-2329

Head to head

  • Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen2026-10-09
  • Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen2026-01-13

Match preview

Werder Bremen host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 16 May 2026. Werder Bremen sit 16th on 29 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Werder Bremen have won 1 of their last 5 (LWDLL), while Borussia Dortmund have won 2 of 5 (LLWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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