Kick-off · Sun, 1 Nov, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 8
Union Berlin vs Köln: Prediction
Union Berlin50%Home win
Köln50% Home win23% Draw27% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.84 – 1.30
Team rating (Elo)1457 – 1440
Recent form
Union BerlinLLWDDKölnLLWLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Köln | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 6 | -10 | 6 |
Head to head
- Union Berlin 2–2 Köln2026-05-02
- Köln 0–1 Union Berlin2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
