Kick-off · Sun, 3 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 18
Villarreal vs Sevilla: Prediction
Villarreal54%Home win
Sevilla54% Home win24% Draw22% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.71 – 0.99
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1481
Recent form
VillarrealLWDLWSevillaWLDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Head to head
- Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla2026-05-13
- Sevilla 1–2 Villarreal2025-09-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
