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Live 88'Matchday 11

Villarreal vs Espanyol: Prediction

Villarreal
0–1
Espanyol

Frozen at kick-off

Tipster consensus · who picked what

1 tracked tipster

100% of 1 tipster pick VIL

VIL 10 ESP

Weighted by hit rate
VIL 100%
TipKhel model
VIL 61%

All tipsters and their records →

One latest winner pick per tipster. Weighted view uses each tipster's tracked hit rate. Public tips for information only, not our view.

Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.91 – 0.89
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1423

Recent form

VillarrealLWDLW
EspanyolLLDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal9+111
2Espanyol9-55

Head to head

  • Villarreal 4–1 Espanyol2026-02-09
  • Espanyol 0–2 Villarreal2025-11-08

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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