Kick-off · Sun, 6 Dec, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 15
Villarreal vs Real Sociedad: Prediction
Villarreal49%Home win
Real Sociedad49% Home win25% Draw26% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.58 – 1.07
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1519
Recent form
VillarrealLWDLWReal SociedadLWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Sociedad | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Head to head
- Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad2026-03-20
- Real Sociedad 2–3 Villarreal2025-11-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
