Kick-off · Sun, 24 Jan, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 21
Valencia vs Sevilla: Prediction
Valencia42%Home win
Sevilla42% Home win26% Draw32% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.40 – 1.20
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1481
Recent form
ValenciaWLDDLSevillaWLDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 2 | Valencia | 9 | -9 | 6 |
Head to head
- Sevilla 1–0 Valencia2026-09-11
- Sevilla 0–2 Valencia2026-03-21
- Valencia 1–1 Sevilla2025-12-07
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
