Kick-off · Wed, 21 Apr, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 33
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction
Valencia41%Home win
Rayo Vallecano41% Home win26% Draw33% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.39 – 1.22
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1486
Recent form
ValenciaWLDDLRayo VallecanoLWDDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | -7 | 9 |
| 2 | Valencia | 9 | -9 | 6 |
Head to head
- Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano2026-05-14
- Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia2025-12-01
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
