Kick-off · Sun, 14 Feb, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 24
Valencia vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction
Valencia43%Home win
Deportivo Alavés43% Home win26% Draw31% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.45 – 1.17
Team rating (Elo)1455 – 1469
Recent form
ValenciaWLDDLDeportivo AlavésLDLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Valencia | 9 | -9 | 6 |
Head to head
- Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Valencia2026-09-15
- Valencia 3–2 Deportivo Alavés2026-03-08
- Deportivo Alavés 0–0 Valencia2025-10-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
